A9 PREDICT

A9 Predict

Changelog

Changes associated with this build.
v0.2.0Build identifier supplied

Build date · Eastern: Oct 25, 2026, 1:41:30.352 PM EDT

Technical build details
Commit
ef695042b6cc7b8d0132bc9eb2a0a1890d123d57
Version source
Running build metadata

Build metadata does not confirm production deployment or service health.

v0.2.0 This build

Keep this round's issued prediction readable, with a separate fresh entry comparison when matching evidence is available.

Added

  • One-contract entry estimate from matching fresh forecast, quote, depth and timestamped series fees; no orders are placed.
  • Current Kalshi round, threshold, close countdown and timestamped public quotes, separate from immutable A9 forecasts.
  • Eastern-day count of unique rounds with acknowledged forecasts and saved settlement status; real trades remain unavailable without fills.

Fixed

  • Saved history stays historical, including records from an open round; it does not show a current pick or start quote refreshes.
  • An issued prediction stays visible until its round closes, with its original probability and an explicit stale-input label after freshness expires.
  • Invalid reference timestamps, conflicting records and different-round quotes cannot supply a selection or entry comparison.
  • Forecast-only pilots can use the approved budget while learning stays off.
  • Quotes retire when stale, closed, mismatched or incomplete; an old forecast is never relabeled as current.
  • Bounded response parsing and shared in-flight public reads prevent simultaneous viewers multiplying upstream work.

Changed

  • Target prices spell out At least versus Above from the contract comparison; original Kalshi wording and rules remain in Details.
  • Untracked no-pick counts and the absence of a trading connection are labeled explicitly instead of appearing as a temporary data outage.
  • Canonical ACE9 Living Glass theme, compact historical evidence, and Eastern Time throughout.
  • Accessible version dialog groups Added, Fixed and Changed notes for this exact build.
  • Page reads do not start forecast collection, learning or order execution.

Tracked question

Trump renames AI by September 30?

A9 gives this a 18% chance of happening. That's about the same as the betting market (19%). A9 researched this on the web before forecasting.

Market 19%Polymarket
A9 Predict 18%high confidence

Jev on its own said 17%

+0 pts vs market
Leans NO
Ask ACE9 about this

Why A9 thinks this

The evidence, separated.

Web research · quality 60/100

There is clear public evidence that President Trump has proposed and promoted renaming “artificial intelligence” (public polls/posts and press reporting), and his administration has used executive actions on AI policy previously, which supports plausibility that a formal renaming action could be attempted. However, as of Sept 26, 2026, there is no published executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum on whitehouse.gov or in the Federal Register that adopts or directs adoption of a new official name for the technology, and the market’s rules require such a signed document to resolve to “Yes.” The primary unknown is whether the White House will convert rhetoric into a qualifying, signed presidential action and publish it before 11:59 PM ET on Sept 30, 2026. ([techrepublic.com](https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-trump-ai-super-intelligence-name-change/?utm_source=openai))

For

President Donald Trump has publicly proposed renaming the term “artificial intelligence” and has run/published public polls and posts offering alternatives such as “Superior Intelligence,” “Extreme Intelligence,” and “Supreme Intelligence,” as reported by multiple news outlets. ([techrepublic.com](https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-trump-ai-super-intelligence-name-change/?utm_source=openai))

News coverage indicates Trump has repeatedly raised the rename idea in recent public appearances and social posts (including during high-profile events), signaling intent and public momentum behind a renaming effort. ([techrepublic.com](https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-trump-ai-super-intelligence-name-change/?utm_source=openai))

The Trump Administration has used executive orders and other formal presidential actions on AI policy before, showing he uses presidential directives to change federal AI policy (e.g., multiple 2025–2026 EOs addressing AI). ([whitehouse.gov](https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/eo-14365.pdf?utm_source=openai))

Against

As of Sept 26, 2026, no presidential executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum adopting a new official name for “artificial intelligence” has been published on whitehouse.gov or in the Federal Register; recent White House presidential actions still use the term “Artificial Intelligence (AI).” ([whitehouse.gov](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/promoting-advanced-artificial-intelligence-innovation-and-security/?query-11-page=5&trk=article-ssr-frontend-pulse_little-text-block&utm_source=openai))

The market’s resolution criteria explicitly require a signed executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name — public speeches, interviews, social-media polls, and renaming of offices or programs do not qualify under those criteria.

Drafting, legal review, interagency coordination, and Federal Register/whitehouse.gov publication are normal steps before a formal presidential action; those procedural steps create friction and timing risk for issuing a qualifying order within a short window (four days from today). ([whitehouse.gov](https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/eo-14365.pdf?utm_source=openai))

Unknown

Whether the White House will convert recent public rhetoric (polls/posts/speeches) into a formal, signed presidential action (executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum) that explicitly replaces or directs replacement of the federal government’s designation “artificial intelligence” by 11:59 PM ET on Sept 30, 2026; the presence and timing of a final signed document is unknown. ([techrepublic.com](https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-trump-ai-super-intelligence-name-change/?utm_source=openai))

What would change A9's mind

  • Yes flip: The White House publishes on whitehouse.gov (and/or the Federal Register publishes) a signed executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for the technology or directs agencies to adopt such a name (text must explicitly replace or supersede “artificial intelligence”).
  • Yes flip: A presidential action is signed within the window and the text contains an explicit directive to adopt a new name for the technology itself (not merely a program or office).
  • No flip: The White House issues a public statement, legal memo, or agency guidance saying the President will not issue such an order before Sept 30, or agencies publicly confirm they received no directive to rename the technology.
  • No flip: Absence of any qualifying signed document published by 11:59 PM ET on Sept 30 (per whitehouse.gov / Federal Register) — public statements or social-media posts remain insufficient under the rules.

Probability history

A9 never rewrites the past.

MarketA9Me
24%Initial read

Autonomous source snapshot c506a2a0e7b4 from Polymarket.

a9-predict-0.2.0 · 2568eb643d2f99857708d8dbac637fcb53dcbfcb030c13fb35303a4406b5f084
36%+12 pts

As of Sep 25, 2026 President Trump publicly declared (in his Sept 22 U.N. remarks) that the technology “hereinafter [be] officially called ‘Super Intelligence,’” and multiple outlets have reported the administration’s public intent to rebrand and form an 'AI Force.' ([whitehouse.gov](https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/09/president-trump-at-the-united-nations-while-others-have-talked-i-have-acted/)) However, the market’s resolution requires a signed executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts or directs adoption of a new federal name. No such qualifying presidential instrument had been posted to WhiteHouse.gov or the Federal Register (and fact‑check coverage distinguishes statements of intent from legally effective signed directives). ([factually.co](https://factually.co/fact-checks/politics/did-trump-rename-ai-si-b4f720?utm_source=openai)) The biggest uncertainty is whether a qualifying, signed presidential action will be issued and published before the deadline (Sep 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET).

a9-predict-0.3.0 · 64e2d01698464e948715f9f70214df9b291005fbd5c424299cbf46507e29c0f2
18%-18 pts

There is clear public evidence that President Trump has proposed and promoted renaming “artificial intelligence” (public polls/posts and press reporting), and his administration has used executive actions on AI policy previously, which supports plausibility that a formal renaming action could be attempted. However, as of Sept 26, 2026, there is no published executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum on whitehouse.gov or in the Federal Register that adopts or directs adoption of a new official name for the technology, and the market’s rules require such a signed document to resolve to “Yes.” The primary unknown is whether the White House will convert rhetoric into a qualifying, signed presidential action and publish it before 11:59 PM ET on Sept 30, 2026. ([techrepublic.com](https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-trump-ai-super-intelligence-name-change/?utm_source=openai))

a9-predict-0.3.0 · 1c178f3b98261acb5b1e820a4ee37dfaff767937ade57617bcbe374616892e87