Silver forecasts
Experimental probabilities, issue times and recorded outcomes.
Open Silver forecast · Owner sign inWhat this means
A9 is tracking 4 open questions, 0 of them backed by web research, and 1397 of its forecasts have now been settled by the real outcome. On 1 of the open questions A9 disagrees with the betting market by 5 points or more — those are the ones that will show whether A9 knows something the market doesn't. Until the scorecard below says otherwise, treat A9's numbers as a second opinion, not an edge.
Does A9 have an edge?
Market is betterThe market is better: across 1396 settled questions the market's odds were closer to what happened. A9 has no edge here yet.
See the full scorecard →Open questions
What A9 is forecasting now.
| Question | Market | A9 | Gap | Evidence | Closes (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 46% | 49% | +3 pts | Market only | Oct 28, 2026 |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 0% | 6% | +6 pts | Market only | May 30, 2027 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 24% | 28% | +5 pts | Market only | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 14% | 15% | +1 pts | Market only | Dec 31, 2026 |
Recent results
Truth is the scorekeeper.
| Question | Market | A9 | Gap | Evidence | Closes (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold price up in next 15 mins? · Result: NO | 42% | 42% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Platinum price up in next 15 mins? · Result: NO | 48% | 48% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Palladium price up in next 15 mins? · Result: NO | 46% | 46% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins? · Result: YES | 51% | 51% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Brent Crude Oil price up in next 15 mins? · Result: YES | 61% | 61% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Copper price up in next 15 mins? · Result: NO | 62% | 62% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Natural Gas price up in next 15 mins? · Result: YES | 53% | 49% | -3 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Brent Crude Oil price up in next 15 mins? · Result: NO | 56% | 56% | +0 pts | Market only | Oct 22, 2026 |