Official Bitget statements and multiple credible reports confirm a large hot-wallet exploit on Sept 24, 2026 and that withdrawals were suspended while investigations, security hardening, and recovery efforts proceeded. Bitget committed to announcing a withdrawal plan by 04:00 UTC on Sept 26, and some media outlets report a phased resumption schedule beginning Sept 28 (UTC). There were no authoritative, platform-level indications in the cited reporting that withdrawals had been reopened before the market cutoff (Sept 27, 2026 23:59 ET). The key unknown is whether Bitget would implement any official, platform-visible partial resumption earlier than the schedules reported. ([bitget.com](https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603896108?utm_source=openai))
a9-predict-0.3.0 · 3ade3109e6db84a1a3e64d343f6b3d9f78a949536e91feb64f9aab05833d3501Tracked question
Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?
A9 gives this a 5% chance of happening. That's about the same as the betting market (4%). A9 researched this on the web before forecasting.
Jev on its own said 8%
Why A9 thinks this
The evidence, separated.
Official Bitget statements and multiple credible reports confirm a large hot-wallet exploit on Sept 24, 2026 and that withdrawals were suspended while investigations, security hardening, and recovery efforts proceeded. Bitget committed to announcing a withdrawal plan by 04:00 UTC on Sept 26, and some media outlets report a phased resumption schedule beginning Sept 28 (UTC). There were no authoritative, platform-level indications in the cited reporting that withdrawals had been reopened before the market cutoff (Sept 27, 2026 23:59 ET). The key unknown is whether Bitget would implement any official, platform-visible partial resumption earlier than the schedules reported. ([bitget.com](https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603896108?utm_source=openai))
For
Bitget publicly committed to publishing a withdrawal-resumption plan by 04:00 UTC on September 26, 2026 — a timeline that implies the company intended to decide on reopening quickly. ([bitget.com](https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603896108?utm_source=openai))
Bitget and multiple reports stated the incident affected hot/warm wallets only, that cold wallets and private keys were not compromised, and that the vulnerability was patched — facts that make a phased/limited resumption technically plausible in a short timeframe. ([theblock.co](https://www.theblock.co/news/markets/2026-09-24-more-than-170-million-in-crypto-moves-from-bitget-wallets-unidentified-address-416345?utm_source=openai))
Bitget launched an asset-recovery bounty, published attacker addresses and tracking dashboards, and received offers of assistance from other major exchanges and ecosystem participants — actions that could accelerate recovery and safe resumption of withdrawals. ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitget-hack-timeline-own-system-164015015.html?utm_source=openai))
Against
Bitget suspended withdrawals on Sept 24 and repeatedly stated withdrawals remained suspended while security reviews and recovery efforts continued; as of the latest official updates cited, withdrawals had not been reinstated. ([bitget.com](https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603896108?utm_source=openai))
Independent reporting and local crypto media published a phased resumption schedule that begins on September 28 (UTC) for major chains (e.g., BTC on Sept 28), which is after the market’s cutoff (Sept 27 23:59 ET = Sept 28 03:59 UTC). If accurate, that schedule implies no resumption by the deadline. ([en.theblockbeats.news](https://en.theblockbeats.news/flash/369094?utm_source=openai))
Outside forensic and security involvement (Mandiant, SlowMist cited in reporting) plus on-chain tracing showing funds dispersed to many addresses increase technical and legal complexity; that complexity commonly delays reopening of CEX withdrawals beyond 48–72 hours. ([tokenpost.com](https://www.tokenpost.com/news/technology/24028?utm_source=openai))
At the time of these reports there were no corroborated, platform-level indicators (official Bitget site/status or exchange UI) showing withdrawals had been made available before the forecast cutoff; isolated user claims alone do not meet the market’s resolution rule. ([bitget.com](https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603896108?utm_source=openai))
Unknown
Whether Bitget will (or did) publish and implement an official, platform-visible resumption (even if partial/asset-limited) before 11:59 PM ET on September 27, 2026 — i.e., whether the company’s promised plan/controls would result in an actual platform state change before the deadline.
What would change A9's mind
- Bitget posts an official platform/status update or UI change explicitly showing that withdrawals are available (any asset subset/partial scope) before 2026-09-28T03:59:00Z.
- Bitget publishes a phased schedule with effective times earlier than reported (e.g., any asset re-enabled before 03:59 UTC on Sep 28). ([en.theblockbeats.news](https://en.theblockbeats.news/flash/369094?utm_source=openai))
- Law-enforcement or on-chain freezes succeed in reclaiming a material portion of stolen funds very rapidly, allowing Bitget to authorize withdrawals sooner.
- Bitget discovers additional severity (new outflows, new exploited assets, or further vulnerabilities) that extends suspension beyond the planned window.
Probability history